Bradford vs Marine prediction
FA Cup · · Valley Parade, Bradford
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Bradford a 82% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Marine 5%. The most likely result is 2-0. Expected goals: Bradford 2.73, Marine 0.54.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Absences and team news
Bradford are without A. Sarcevic, J. Beesley, George Christopher John Pratt.
Marine report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 83% for Bradford, 12% for the draw and 5% for Marine. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 82%, 13% and 5%.
Expected goals: Bradford 2.73, Marine 0.54, 3.27 in total. Over 2.5 at 64%, both teams to score at 40%; the most likely score is 2-0. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Bradford win (82%, fair odds 1.21); double chance 1X rises to 95%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
Free daily picks on our Telegram channel
Join on Telegram