Bromley vs Rotherham prediction
FA Cup · · Copperjax Community Stadium, Bromley
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Bromley a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rotherham 24%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Bromley 1.65, Rotherham 1.08.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Absences and team news
Bromley are without M. Pinnock, O. Sowunmi, M. Cheek, C. Whitely.
Rotherham are without J. Buyabu, P. Mullin, K. Spence, J. Eyestone.
Team news, Bromley: Debut on the bench for new coach Karl Robinson, who took over after Andy Woodman was sacked last month.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 51% for Bromley, 26% for the draw and 24% for Rotherham. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 49%, 27% and 24%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: Bromley 1.65, Rotherham 1.08, 2.73 in total. Over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Kick-off forecast in London: 10.7 °C, no rain, wind 2 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Bromley win (49%, fair odds 2.02); double chance 1X rises to 76%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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